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Journal of Animal Ecology

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Animal Ecology's content profile, based on 75 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.06% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Insights for Estimating Animal Movement Step Selection Functions

Koshute, P.; Fagan, W. F.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.29.748012 medRxiv
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Ecologists remotely track movement steps of animals (e.g., via global positioning systems) and use step selection functions to study the effect of environmental factors upon their movement decisions. Constructing such functions requires pairing each observed step with some number of unobserved but feasible comparison steps. Larger numbers of comparison steps generally yield better estimates but also incur potentially challenging computational demands. Thus, it is important to determine an appropriate number of comparison steps. No established guidance exists for this decision. Here, we use simulated tracks to assess how many comparison steps are needed, fitting each set of steps to a conditional logistic regression model. We monitor errors in estimated effects for several classes of tracks, identifying the number of comparison steps for which mean relative absolute error in estimated effects is consistently low. By this criterion, 32 comparison steps per observed step are needed for our primary class of simulated tracks. Tracks in more homogeneous landscapes, tracks with shorter mean step lengths, or shorter tracks generally require more comparison steps (ranging from 64 to 128 per observed step) to achieve the same level of accuracy. Longer tracks generally require fewer comparison steps (16 per observed step). These results clearly demonstrate that the number of comparison steps influences how well step selection functions estimate covariate effects and provides initial direction in a research area that currently lacks quantitative guidance. Movement ecologists should take care when selecting the number of comparison steps paired with each observed step because those decisions matter.

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Automated wildlife re-identification by merging information from multiple body parts: A case study in sea turtles

Adam, L.; Montagna, M.; Roma, V.; Mancini, A.; Papafitsoros, K.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.28.747856 medRxiv
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Wildlife re-identification (re-ID) is a widely used and powerful tool with diverse applications in animal ecology and conservation. Current automated methods typically operate on single images of a single body part of the animal. However, a single encounter may contain multiple images capturing different body regions, each providing complementary individual-specific information. In contrast to automated approaches, researchers often manually select the most suitable images and regions for identification based on factors like visibility, occlusion and image quality. This creates a mismatch between automated methods and field practice, limiting the practical adoption of current automated re-ID pipelines. Here, we address this by introducing an encounter-based, multi-body-part re-ID framework, using sea turtles as a model taxon. Our framework combines three elements: (1) An orientation-aware deep learning model, TurtleDetector, that in addition to the full bodies, it also automatically segments key body regions, i.e. heads, front and hind flippers, from images within an encounter; (2) a hybrid body-part-specific retrieval method, that sequentially combines a fast global-feature model (MiewID or DINOv3) with a more accurate but costlier local-feature model (ALIKED with LightGlue); and (3) a merged identity-prediction strategy that selects the highest calibrated similarity score across all available body parts and images of an encounter. We evaluate the framework on three long-term re-ID datasets spanning three species, loggerheads, greens, and hawksbill turtles, under an evaluation protocol that mirrors real-world, time-aware re-ID workflows. Across datasets, combining multiple body regions consistently improved identification performance over the best-performing single body region, resulting to an increase of 4-6% in top-1 accuracy. Interestingly, body regions traditionally underused in sea turtle re-ID, such as the hind flippers and carapaces, provided complementary identifying information that improved encounter-level re-ID when integrated through the hybrid retrieval method. Our findings demonstrate that automated wildlife re-ID can benefit from moving beyond single-image, single-body-part identification towards encounter-level integration of all available visual evidence. Our work further suggests that, where feasible, field photo-acquisition protocols should aim to capture multiple informative views of an individual during each encounter. Importantly, many species and taxa, including elephants, primates, cetaceans, and other large vertebrates, possess such individual-specific features across multiple body regions, highlighting the broad potential applicability of our framework.

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eDNA reveals urban habitat-specific sorting of a mixed regional fish fauna into distinct biodiversity and life-history assemblages

Zapfe, K. L.; Parker, E.; Elias, D.; Hogue, G. M.; Dornburg, A.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.29.748007 medRxiv
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Urbanization is reshaping freshwater ecosystems, with well-documented effects across gradients of land-use change, hydrologic alteration, and habitat degradation. However, how biodiversity is organized among neighboring urban aquatic habitats that differ in hydrologic connectivity, disturbance transmission, residence time, management history, and opportunities for species movement is often less clear. This creates a challenge for interpreting urban fish communities at local scales as species occurrence may reflect both contemporary habitat filtering and historical contingencies including native persistence, interbasin transfer, stocking, and nonindigenous introductions. Here we use eDNA detections, historical records, phylogenetic information, and species trait data to investigate the fish assemblages of the Charlotte metropolitan region. We detect a highly mixed fauna that also depicts a strong signature of structured biodiversity profiles across taxonomic, phylogenetic, functional, and life-history dimensions between habitat types. In particular, bounded habitats contained assemblages with larger-bodied species that are fecund and faster to reproduce relative to free-flowing habitats. Species-level occurrence models did not support a simple trait-by-habitat rule. Instead our results demonstrate that urban aquatic habitats can sort historically mixed regional species pools into predictable assemblage-level life-history profiles while simultaneously retaining signatures of evolutionary and historical biogeographic contingency.

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From Bone-centric to Kidney-centric: Environment-Dependent Shift of Spaceflight Renal Stone Pathways

Shi, J.; Gu, Q.; Pan, J.; Yang, A.; Fan, M.

2026-08-31 urology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26360881 medRxiv
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Human deep-space missions face bone-kidney risks that cannot be extrapolated from six-month ISS data. We built a 12-state Ca-bone-urine-stone mechanistic ODE model and jointly calibrated its 11 physiological parameters on eight ISS targets by Bayesian identification (M0 base = 19-D; M1 extension adds a GCR-bone coupling term for parsimony testing only), then propagated the M0 posterior to four environments (ISS, Lunar subsurface, Lunar surface, Mars). Lumbar-lower BMD loss increases with mission duration and partial-gravity unloading (ISS 180 d -4.83% -> Mars 730 d -12.15%; 2^3 factorial: duration 82.9%, gravity 12.5%, GCR main effect ~ 0), whereas stone rate follows the opposite gradient (ISS 16.1 vs Mars 13.1 per 1000 person-years), reflecting weakened partial-gravity bone resorption alongside residual urinary chemistry changes. The dominant pathway thus shifts from bone-centric on the ISS to kidney-centric on Mars, where residual urinary-chemistry changes-not bone resorption-drive stone risk. The direct GCR-bone coupling term is unidentifiable at current ISS doses (DeltaWAIC = +0.0076 +/- 0.126 SE), so M0 is retained as the main inference model. Bisphosphonates provide >=84% BMD protection but leave a urinary-chemistry residual, so bisphosphonate monotherapy would underestimate Mars stone risk; potassium-magnesium-citrate combinations (RRR_RSS 51%) should therefore be added to deep-space countermeasures. A Lunar-surface 365-day mission is the earliest environment on the NASA roadmap to cross a composite RED threshold. That profile differs from the regolith-shielded 180-day case in both cumulative GCR (~69x) and duration (2x), so a shielding-specific effect cannot be isolated here; forcing the GCR coupling terms to zero leaves all four composite tiers unchanged (0/4, Supp S24), and the shielded 180-day profile is YELLOW rather than GREEN. Independent hold-out validation (Culliton 2025 60-day HDT-bedrest RCT, n=8 control arm of n=24 total) supports the M0 posterior predictive distribution on the lumbar-BMD sub-scope.

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Southern (California) Sea Otter Population Status and Trends at San Nicolas Island, 2023-Winter 2026

Tomoleoni, J. A.; Yee, J. L.; Seacord, E.; Staedler, M. M.; Hatfield, B. B.; Carswell, L.; Fujii, J.; Bentall, G. B.; Konrad, L.; Young, C.; Tinker, M. T.; Bowen, L.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.28.747881 medRxiv
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The southern sea otter (Enhydra lutris nereis) population at San Nicolas Island, California, has been monitored annually since the translocation of 140 sea otters to the island was completed in 1990. Monitoring efforts have varied in frequency and method across years. In 2017, in accordance with the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2016, the U.S. Navy and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service formally initiated a sea otter monitoring and research plan to determine the effects of military readiness activities on the growth or decline of the southern sea otter population at San Nicolas Island. The monitoring program, at its basic level, includes quarterly seasonal surveys of population abundance, distribution, and foraging activity. This report presents data from the program with a focus on the recent three years from winter 2023 through winter (February) 2026. From 2023 to 2026, we measured an 8.1-percent per annum decrease in population abundance (95-percent confidence interval =1.1-14.6 percent), with 106 total individuals counted as of February 2026. Historically, sea otter habitat usage at San Nicolas Island was concentrated on the west end of the island. Between 2017 and 2019, we observed increased seasonal usage of the north and south sides of the island, and in 2020-2022, a large (approximately 30-40 individuals) group of sea otters (raft) took up residence off the east end. During 2023-2026 the east end raft disappeared, and sea otters returned to their historical habitat usage patterns at the west end of the island. Foraging data were collected from summer 2023 to winter 2026 on a total of 461 foraging dives in 32 foraging bouts, and the majority of identified prey on successful dives (n=325) were sea urchins (124) followed by snails (48), bivalves (41) and crabs (23). One lobster and one octopus were also identified among the sea otter prey items. We combined these data with data from 2020-2022 to estimate overall energy intake rates that averaged 7.7 kilocalories per minute (95-percent credible interval =6.6-9.1 kilocalories per minute). These results can be useful to the planning of future monitoring and research of sea otters at San Nicolas Island.

6
Geometric scaling of non-consumptive interactions generates sublinear density dependence and reshapes coexistence

Baruah, G.; KC, Y. K.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.30.748073 medRxiv
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The shape of density-dependence governs species persistence, and ecosystem stability. Yet, whether per-capita growth declines sublinearily, or superlinearily with density remains hotly debated. Growth rates across the tree of life have been shown to decline sublinearly with density, whereas theory founded on resource competition predicts the opposite. Here, we resolve this discrepancy and show that sublinearity can readily emerge from geometric constraints on consumer interactions. By linking inter individual spacing, movement and interference rates, we derive two limiting-interference regimes, one of which the well-mixed limit recovers the form of classic Beddington DeAngelis interference response. We then developed an individual-based model from first principles which reproduces the derived sublinearity response, and further use empirical data from published consumer-resource experiments that also bears the signature of sublinear density-dependence. Further, embedding the interference mechanisms underlying the emergence of sublinear density-dependence in coexistence theory opens a new regime for species coexistence where classical theory fails to predict. Our framework indicates that non-consumptive interactions are not merely a correction to resource competition but might be a distinct axis along which diverse communities may potentially coexist.

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Patterns and Drivers of Diatom Diversity and Biogeography in the North Pacific

Barral, A.; Suzuki, K.; Kikuchi, Y.; Nakaoka, S.-i.; Takao, S.; Nakaoka, S.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.30.746603 medRxiv
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Marine diatoms contribute to about 20% of global primary production. We present the first basin-scale, multiyear assessment of diatom communities in the North Pacific, combining taxonomically high-resolution RuBisCO large subunit gene (rbcL) metabarcoding with concurrent environmental measurements. Using a nine-year time series of daily samples resolved at the species level via ~500 bp rbcL fragments, we performed multivariate analyses across biogeographic provinces, identifying significant correlations between community structure and environmental drivers such as temperature and macronutrient availability. We report the prevalence of a previously overlooked centric diatom species in the North Pacific, Eunotogramma lunatum, which appears to be near-dominant even in subarctic high-nitrate, low-chlorophyll waters where pennate diatoms are typically favored. These results demonstrate the power of rbcL for large-scale ocean monitoring and provide a critical baseline for future studies of diatom population dynamics, climate change impacts, and ecosystem resilience in a key marine region.

8
A record-breaking heatwave reduces breeding success and impairs growth in a wild bird population

Lopez-Idiaquez, D.; Satarkar, D.; Sheldon, B. C.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.29.747719 medRxiv
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Most evidence of the consequences of climate change in natural systems has focussed on shifts in mean temperature (1,2), but the effects of extreme climatic events (ECEs) remain far less understood. This is particularly true for very severe ECEs that may occur only once every few decades. Understanding the consequences of these severe events for natural populations is nonetheless critical, since their frequency is predicted to rise under current climate change (3). Here we combine a unique long-term dataset spanning almost five decades of breeding (>20,000 events) and morphological data (>120,000 observations) in adult and nestling great tits (Parus major) and blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus) with fine-scale temperature records to examine the effects of an unprecedented heatwave in May 2026 on breeding success and morphology. Average temperature during the heatwave (22-29 May 2026) was 7.85 C above the historical record, reaching +10.5 C (+4.32 SD) at its peak (25-26 May). These record-breaking temperatures significantly reduced adult breeding success and nestling bmass relative to expectation in the absence of a heat-wave. Given the heatwave was widespread (Fig. 1A), our findings from a single, exceptionally well-studied population are likely to generalise to other species exposed to the same event, providing key evidence that severe ECEs can substantially harm wild populations.

9
Closing the biodiversity observation-to-action loop

Yamaguchi, K.; Uchida, K.; Hiraiwa, M.; Fukano, Y.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.27.747669 medRxiv
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Citizen science observations are abundant, but conservation requires turning uneven records into reliable predictions and directing new surveys to where information is missing. We developed a biodiversity platform for Japan that is updated monthly and integrates 2.32 million records to predict 8,297 species across seven taxonomic groups. Shared representation models outperformed species-specific models in four groups and extended predictions to species with few records. Five independent datasets, including structured monitoring, environmental DNA and complete forest inventories, confirmed that the models ranked observed species and occupied sites above alternatives, with median AUCs of 0.724 to 0.894 across sites and 0.650 to 0.841 across species. For any user-selected area, the platform returns candidate species, distribution predictions, a biodiversity map corrected for uneven observation effort, a conservation priority map for native species and a map recommending where to survey next. This map highlights places where species with few records are predicted to occur despite limited sampling. Independent observations showed that areas ranked highly by this predicted potential contained many such species, indicating that model predictions can help direct surveys toward knowledge gaps. New observations are incorporated into monthly updates, creating a national feedback system connecting citizen science, local conservation decisions and future surveys.

10
TreeTOP: Plant experimental platforms in canopy space

Baumeister, J.; Bakhtiari, M. M.; Schreiber, M.; Eisenring, M.; Gossner, M.; Walden, S.; Becker, A.; Bouffaud, M. L.; Cesarz, S.; Dauphin, B.; Eisenhauer, N.; Goldmann, K.; Heidrich, L.; Jurburg, S.; Junker, R. R.; Kreuzwieser, J.; Lampei, C.; Nauss, T.; Peter, M.; Prada-Salcedo, L.; Tarkka, M.; Werner, C.; Zeuss, D.; Herrmann, S.; Buscot, F.; Heer, K.; Opgenoorth, L.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.30.748063 medRxiv
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1. Forest canopies harbour strong microclimatic gradients that shape plant performance, species interactions and ecosystem processes. Yet, despite renewed interest sparked by global change, forest canopies remain difficult-to-access experimental spaces. 2. With the goal to expand access to tree canopies as experimental arenas, we designed, built, and tested TreeTOP, a standardized experimental platform that opens canopy space for manipulative ecological experiments, specifically with potted plants. TreeTOP features lightweight aluminum frames placed in mature tree canopies non-invasively, allowing potted plants to be placed in three different heights, ground level, shade canopy, and sun canopy. 3. We implemented TreeTOP using two contrasting infrastructure concepts to demonstrate its applicability in both highly equipped canopy research facilities and forests without permanent canopy infrastructure. One installation relied on a canopy crane, grid power and fully automated irrigation, whereas the second was built by certified tree climbers and was equipped with an autonomous solar-powered, battery-operated irrigation system. At both sites, environmental sensor networks monitor the experiment. 4. TreeTOP successfully reproduced characteristic canopy microclimatic gradients, including increasing light availability, daytime air temperatures and thermal extremes with canopy height. Despite differing infrastructures, both implementations generated comparable microclimatic patterns, demonstrating that standardized canopy experiments are feasible in forests with or without permanent canopy access. By opening canopy space for manipulative experiments, TreeTOP provides a transferable framework for investigating plant performance, phenology, species interactions and microbiome assembly under realistic forest conditions.

11
Plasma and follicular fluid concentrations of carotenoids, tocopherols and retinol in a French population of women undergoing in vitro fertilization: a monocentric non-interventional study

Ndiaye, A.; Thiebaut, A. C. M.; Borel, P.; Sabran, C.; Elis, S.; Guerif, F.; Maillard, V.

2026-09-01 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.08.28.26360803 medRxiv
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The distribution of fat-soluble compounds (including antioxidants) in follicular fluid (FF) remains sparsely documented in relation to in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes and existing studies have reported diverging associations. This study aimed to describe plasma and FF concentrations of fat-soluble micronutrients in women undergoing IVF and to analyze their adjusted associations with ovarian function, embryo development and pregnancy outcomes. In 2021-2022, plasma and FF samples were collected from 82 women (first IVF cycle) at oocyte puncture, along with lifestyle data covering the three preceding months. Eleven compounds (two tocopherols, three xanthophylls, five carotenes and retinol) were quantified. All compounds were detected in both compartments (lowest in FF) except phytoene, undetectable in FF. Plasma and FF -tocopherol concentrations were positively associated with plasma estradiol levels before oocyte puncture (both p<0.01) while FF -carotene and lycopene were inversely associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.01 and 0.02, respectively). Plasma phytofluene and phytoene were positively associated with mature oocyte rate (p=0.03 and p=0.01, respectively), while FF retinol was negatively associated (p=0.03). Carotenes, tocopherols and retinol were inversely associated with later IVF outcomes: fertilization rate (p<0.001 for plasma g-tocopherol, 0.02 for FF retinol), top-quality embryo (p=0.02 for plasma phytofluene), biochemical pregnancy at day 7 post-embryo transfer (p=0.05 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma -carotene), clinical pregnancy (p=0.03 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.01 for plasma phytoene) and live birth (p=0.04 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma phytoene). Plasma and FF g-tocopherol were positively associated with embryo fragmentation (both p<0.05). Finally, among xanthophylls, only plasma {beta}-cryptoxanthin was positively associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.02). Our findings of heterogeneous associations between tocopherols, carotenes, retinol and IVF outcomes across the stages of IVF suggest a beneficial effect limited to early outcomes and support a complex and context-dependent role of these compounds in female reproduction. This manuscript has been submitted to PlosOne on August 19, 2026.

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Persistence of psychotic experiences and clinical outcomes in adolescents at familial high risk of schizophrenia or bipolar disorder: The Danish High Risk and Resilience Study

Rohd, S. B.; Thorup, A. A.; Wilms, M.; Schiavon, M.; Streyma, D. H. B.; Laursen, A. F.; Bundgaard, A. F.; Sondergaard, A.; Krantz, M. F.; Veddum, L.; Hjorthoj, C.; Greve, A.; Mors, O.; Nordentoft, M.; Hemager, N.; Gregersen, M.

2026-09-01 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361507 medRxiv
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Objective: This study examined the prevalence of psychotic experiences (PE) and how early onset and persistence of PE contribute to risk and severity of mental disorders in adolescents at familial high-risk of schizophrenia (FHR-SZ) or bipolar disorder (FHR-BP) and adolescents from a population-based control group (PBC). Methods: This is the second follow-up of a nationwide cohort study including 522 children at FHR-SZ (N=202), FHR-BP (N=120), and PBC (N=200). Participants were assessed at ages 7, 11, and 15 using a semi-structured interview to evaluate PE and mental disorders. Results: At age 15, adolescents at FHR-SZ reported more PE than PBC over the past six months (current) and the past four years, while adolescents at FHR-BP only reported more current PE. PE reported at two or three timepoints (persistent PE) predicted any Axis I disorder in mid-adolescence, corresponding to three- (OR 2.9, 95% CI [1.5-5.7]) and 21-fold (OR 21.4, 95% CI [2.8-162.3]) increased risks, respectively. Persistent PE also predicted multimorbidity, with three- (OR 2.8, 95% CI [1.0-7.6]) and four-fold (OR 4.1, 95% CI [1.2-14.1]) increased risks, respectively. This was after adjustment for sex, early mental disorders, and familial risk. Conclusions: This study demonstrates a strong link between persistent PE and mid-adolescence mental disorders. Our findings emphasize PE as important risk markers for mental disorders during mid-adolescence and highlight the importance of monitoring children with PE before age 7 who develop persistent symptoms.

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Usability, acceptability and feasibility of continuous glucose monitoring among children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes in Kenya

Amolo, P.; Mungai, L.; Karume, A. K.; Kibugi, J.; Mwende, W.; Botella, N.; Haldane, C.; Kamau, Y.; Marban-Castro, E.

2026-09-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361447 medRxiv
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Introduction Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) is considered standard care in high-income countries. There is, however, limited published evidence on CGM use in low- and middle-income countries. The purpose of this study was to assess the usability, acceptability, and feasibility of CGM use among people living with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and caregivers in a low-resource setting. Research Design and Methods This prospective study conducted at the Kenyatta National Hospital purposively enrolled persons aged 4-25 years who had been on management for T1D for at least six months, and caregivers of those under 18 years. Fourty youth living with T1D used CGM for three months in place of self monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG). The System Usability Scale (SUS), a Theoretical Framework of Acceptability-based questionnaire, the Diabetes Distress Scale (DDS), the Glucose Monitoring Satisfaction Survey (GMSS), and a feasibility survey were administered. Outcomes were summarized descriptively, including means, medians, and frequencies using R statistical software. Results The median SUS score was 98.8 (IQR 92.5-100.0). Acceptability was high, and the median total GMSS score improved from 3.73 to 4.73. Among adolescents and adults, the median overall DDS score reduced from 1.54 to 1.36, with reductions in scores in all domains, except for hypoglycemia distress which increased, and physician distress which remained low. Among caregivers, the median overall DDS score declined from 2.05 (moderate distress) to 1.90 (low distress), with modest reductions in teen management and parent-teen relationship distress and a slight increase in personal distress. Median CGM active wear time was 89%. Conclusion This study comprehensively evaluated CGM across usability, acceptability, and feasibility outcomes, with the findings supporting the integration of CGM into routine diabetes management in low-resource settings. The short follow-up period, however, may not capture changing perceptions or long-term adherence.

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Returning APOE and pTau-217 Results: the eSMARTER Randomized Noninferiority Clinical Trial

Langbaum, J. B.; Erickson, C. M.; Langlois, C.; Wood, E. M.; Egleston, B. L.; Harkins, K.; Mim, R.; John, S.; Brown, C.; Brown, S.; Howe, S.; Cacioppo, C.; Eppelmann, L.; Enos, J.; Salata, H.; DeSantiago, D.; Largent, E. A.; Reiman, E. M.; Denkinger, M. N.; Ashton, N. J.; Roberts, J. S.; Karlawish, J.; Bradbury, A. R.

2026-09-01 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361535 medRxiv
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Importance: Patients are increasingly learning Alzheimers disease (AD) genetic and biomarker results through electronic health portals. Evaluation of alternative scalable delivery models for return of AD risk information is needed to best support patient understanding and psychological well-being. Objective: To determine whether a patient-centered digital platform is comparable to clinician-mediated telehealth sessions for returning APOE and plasma pTau-217 results on outcomes of knowledge and psychological well-being. Design: The Evaluation of Self-Mediated Alternatives for Risk Testing Education and Return of Results (eSMARTER) study was a noninferiority trial of a patient-centered digital platform compared to clinician-mediated disclosure of APOE genotype and optional pTau-217 disclosure. Setting: Decentralized, fully remote trial enrolled participants in the contiguous United States (U.S.) between October 2024 and February 2025, with follow-up completed in November 2025. Participants: Eligible participants were aged 60-80 and had previously undergone APOE genotyping (without disclosure) via the GeneMatch program, passed psychological screening, had internet access, and were English-speaking. Interventions: Participants were randomized, 2:1, to the eSMARTER digital platform or clinician-mediated disclosure of APOE genotype. Following the 6-month post-APOE assessment, participants were offered optional pTau-217 disclosure via the same randomized modality. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes at 1-7 days following APOE disclosure included changes in anxiety, disease-specific distress, and AD-related knowledge within a priori non-inferiority margins. Results: 674 persons (mean [SD] age 68 [4.7] years; 451 [67%] female; mean [SD] telephone MoCA=19 [2]) were eligible and provided demographic information. 651 participants were randomized to clinician-mediated (n=216) or digital disclosure (n=435) and completed APOE disclosure (66 [10%] APOE4 homozygotes, 377 [58%] heterozygotes, 208 [32%] non-carriers). 604 participants completed the study; 500 completed optional pTau-217 disclosure. Baseline characteristics were balanced across groups. At 1-7 days following APOE disclosure, scores on AD-related knowledge, PROMIS Anxiety, and disease-specific distress measures met non-inferiority. Conclusions and Relevance: Disclosure of APOE genotype by the eSMARTER digital platform is non-inferior to clinician-mediated telehealth disclosure. No significant between group differences were found following disclosure of pTau-217 results. Together, these results suggest that this digital platform may provide an evidence-based scalable approach for returning AD genetic and biomarker results.

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A Measurement-Based Care Strategy for Buprenorphine-Naloxone Treatment (Bup-MBC): Development of an EHR-Integrated Intervention

Reese, T.; Audet, C.; Ancker, J.; Wright, A.; Marcovitz, D.; Kast, K. A.; Bridges, J.; Tindle, H.; Shah, M.; von Horn, A.; Matheny, M. E.

2026-09-01 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361539 medRxiv
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Introduction: Risk of recurrent opioid use during buprenorphine-naloxone (bup-nx) treatment is dynamic and remains elevated after initiation, with vulnerability shaped in part by treatment intensity and gaps between visits, yet routine outpatient care relies on episodic encounters and retrospective data. This mismatch can delay recognition of emerging instability and limit timely treatment adjustments. This paper reports the development and specification of an intervention strategy to address this mismatch. Methods: We used a structured, multi-phase design process to specify and configure a measurement-based care (MBC) strategy for bup-nx treatment (Bup-MBC) in outpatient addiction clinics through three phases: (1) a systematic review of patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) for substance use treatment; (2) a qualitative needs assessment using the Theoretical Domains Framework and COM-B (Capability, Opportunity, Motivation-Behavior) model to identify gaps in risk monitoring, agency, and trust; and (3) iterative co-design with multidisciplinary clinicians to refine workflow fit and trust-preserving use of data. Patients informed item and feedback content during the needs assessment but did not participate in the co-design cycles. Results: Bup-MBC integrates (1) brief between-visit PROMs (e.g., withdrawal, craving, adherence); (2) immediate non-punitive patient feedback; (3) clinician-facing summaries and non-directive prompts in the electronic health record (EHR); and (4) an opt-in between-visit outreach pathway with predefined safety triggers, all configured within existing EHR and patient portal infrastructure. It targets patient and clinician capability to recognize changes in risk, opportunity for action through structured monitoring and visit preparation, and trust and agency through non-punitive communication, without adding substantial burden. The full measure set, severity bands, and question-to-action map are provided as supplementary material. Key trade-offs included prioritizing single-item measures for feasibility, balancing opt-in outreach with safety overrides, and assuming routine clinician use of summaries. Conclusion: This development study specifies an EHR-integrated MBC strategy for outpatient bup-nx treatment. As single-center design work with co-design limited to clinicians and delivery contingent on portal or text-message access, its outputs are hypotheses about mechanism and fit rather than demonstrated effects. Feasibility studies are needed to evaluate uptake, acceptability, workflow fit, and effects on treatment.

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Genome Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets (NYU LG-PACT) for Clinical Patient Molecular Diagnostics and Treatment

Yang, Y.; Vasudevaraja, V.; Serrano, J.; Mohamed, H.; Kelly, S.; Jour, G.; Gindin, T.; Park, K.; Jones, D.; Feng, X.; Pinnell, J.; Mclennan, S.; Tin, M. Y.; Tsirigos, A.; Snuderl, M.; Wrzeszczynski, K. O.

2026-09-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361341 medRxiv
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Next-generation sequencing (NGS) for the detection of somatic variants has become the method of choice in a variety of molecular oncology fields and in the clinic. Its use ranges from sequencing entire tumor genomes and transcriptomes to targeted clinical diagnostic gene panels. The NYU Langone Genome PACT (Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets, LG-PACT) assay is a qualitative in vitro diagnostic test that uses targeted next generation sequencing (NGS) of formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor tissue matched with normal specimens from patients to detect gene alterations in a targeted panel covering 606 genes and the TERT promoter. Indications for testing are cancer (solid tumors and hematological malignancies) where a mutational profile from multiple genes would be informative for disease stratification, prognosis, or treatment options including targeted therapies and eligibility for clinical trials. The test is intended to provide information on somatic mutations including point mutations, small insertions/deletions (indels), and copy number aberrations for diagnostic and treatment decisions. LG-PACT is a United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) cleared diagnostic test (510K: K202304). The clinical interpretation of sequencing data of molecular tumor markers from NGS encompasses automated variant calling tools with human interpretation. This final mostly manual review of data step is intensive, involving highly trained scientists, encompassing literature review, interpretation and clinical tier classification by pathologists, who then provide a complete molecular diagnostic report to the treating oncologists. We provide analysis of 1339 clinical genomic profiles from 31 different cancers and their subtypes, comprising of central nervous system (CNS) 792 (59%) cases (incl. meningioma, glioma and glioblastoma), with 267 (20%) cases predominantly of lung, pancreatic and colorectal and 280 of others (21%). Here, we present the technical challenges of validating an NGS oncological diagnostic targeted assay for clinical grade accuracy and sensitivity for patient care. We show how copy number alterations provide a more comprehensive description of the tumors genomic profile. We then outline the utility of targeted panel sequencing based on certified pathologist selection of reportable variants for our current patient cohort. Where analysis of variant detection has led to 49.4% (661/1339) of our clinical tumor samples containing mutations in known therapy targeted genes, 35.6% (477/1339) with mutation detected in other genes, and 15% (201/1339) cases being negative.

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People living with multiple long-term conditions have different pathways of unscheduled care in hospital: findings from an analysis of routinely-collected clinical data

Witham, M.; Evison, F.; Bellass, S.; Cooper, R.; Gallier, S.; Pretorius, S.; Sapey, E.; Suklan, J.; Sayer, A. A.

2026-09-01 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361696 medRxiv
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Study Objective Little is known about where in hospital care for multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) is delivered. We aimed to describe pathways of care (ward transfers) and outcomes for people admitted to hospital for unscheduled care by MLTC status and other key sociodemographic characteristics. Design and setting Analysis of routinely-collected electronic health records from a large acute UK hospital. Participants Adult unscheduled care admissions from 1st July 2018 to 30th June 2019. The presence of two or more of 59 long-term conditions was ascertained using ICD-10 codes from previous hospital discharges. Main outcome measures Markov state transition probabilities were derived for ward moves and compared for MLTC vs no MLTC, age, sex, ethnicity and neighbourhood deprivation. Outcomes (length of stay, death, readmission, move from definitive ward) and time spent in emergency and assessment departments were compared between subgroups. Results A total of 33,252 adults, mean age 56.0 (SD 21.9) years were analysed; 14,834 (42.4%) had MLTC. People with MLTC were more likely to die in hospital (4.2 vs 1.9%, p<0.001), transfer to internal medicine wards or older peoples medicine wards, were less likely to transfer to surgical wards, had longer median length of stay (1.83 vs 0.69 days, p<0.001), stayed longer in acute medical units (15.5 vs 9.6 hours, p<0.001), and were more likely to move from their definitive ward (18.2 vs 16.4%, p=0.002). Conclusion Unscheduled hospital care pathways are complex and differ for people with MLTC, who have worse outcomes and may be less likely to receive optimal care.

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Increasing Lung Cancer Screening Participation Using an Informational Video Nudge: A Randomized Feasibility Trial

Wain, K. F.; Carroll, N. M.; Maclennan, A. J.; Hixon, B.; Steiner, J.; Ritzwoller, D. P.

2026-09-01 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361654 medRxiv
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Purpose: Lung cancer screening (LCS) with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) reduces lung cancer mortality, yet screening participation remains low. We evaluated whether a brief informational video nudge delivered immediately before a scheduled clinical encounter increased LCS ordering and baseline LCS completion. Patients and Methods: We conducted a randomized feasibility trial within Kaiser Permanente Colorado from March through October 2025. LCS-eligible patients with an upcoming primary care or pulmonology appointment were assigned to intervention or usual care based on birth month. Intervention patients were split into two group, a group who received the LCS informational video nudge via text message within 24 hours of an eligible appointment; and second group who received the text plus a QR code video link during appointment rooming. Outcomes included LCS orders, baseline LCS-LDCT completion, and video engagement. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with LCS ordering. Results: Among 1,093 patients, 549 were assigned to intervention and 544 to usual care. Intervention patients were more likely to receive an LCS order within 1 day of their appointment (22.6% vs 16.4%; p=.010) and any time during follow-up (32.6% vs 24.1%; p=.002). Baseline LCS-LDCT completion was 51% higher in the intervention group, although the difference was not statistically significant (8.6% vs 5.7%; p=.078). Among the intervention group, 93 individuals (17%) viewed the video, generating 114 total views, and viewers watched an average of 79% of the video. Most views (82.5%) occurred through text-message delivery rather than QR codes. Conclusion: A brief, low-burden LCS informational video delivered immediately before a clinical encounter and integrated into existing workflows significantly increased LCS ordering and was associated with higher screening completion. Timely, scalable digital nudges may provide an effective strategy for improving LCS participation. Based on the observed effectiveness, feasibility, and efficiency of the intervention, KPCO incorporated the behavioral nudge into standard clinical care in February 2026.

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Spatial Geometry and Prevalence of Tunneling and Undermining in Pressure Ulcers

Frade, S.; Tunyiswa, Z.; Shin, M.; Dirks, R.

2026-09-01 dermatology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361615 medRxiv
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Background: Pressure ulcers often develop complex three-dimensional morphologies that extend beyond the visible wound surface. Subsurface extensions such as tunneling and undermining create hidden cavities that complicate clinical assessment and wound management. Despite their clinical relevance, the prevalence and spatial characteristics of these subsurface wound morphologies have not been well characterized at scale. Methods: We performed a registry-based analysis using data from the LIFT-OFF Pressure Ulcer Registry, which captures longitudinal clinical documentation of pressure ulcers treated in routine care. The registry included approximately 18,000 patients with 32,000 documented pressure ulcers. Spatial characteristics of tunneling and undermining were analyzed using measurements recorded during routine wound assessments, including tract length, direction, and circumferential extent. Directional and circumferential distributions of subsurface defects were examined to characterize wound geometry. Results: Tunneling was present in 764 of 14,700 full-thickness pressure ulcers (5.2%), whereas undermining occurred in 2,293 wounds (15.6%). Tunneling tracts were typically short and exhibited directional clustering relative to the wound bed. In contrast, undermining demonstrated broader circumferential distributions and frequently involved larger subsurface separations beneath the wound margin. Both morphologies demonstrated distinct spatial patterns across anatomical locations and wound stages. Conclusion: Tunneling and undermining are common subsurface features of pressure ulcers and exhibit distinct spatial geometries. Whereas tunneling manifests as directional tract-like extensions, undermining more frequently produces circumferential tissue separation beneath wound margins. Improved characterization of subsurface wound architecture may enhance assessment of wound complexity and provide information not captured by surface measurements alone. Future studies should evaluate whether these features contribute to wound severity assessment, prognosis, and risk stratification.

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Dynamic Clinical States and Transitions During the First 72 Hours of Intensive Care After Acute Stroke

LEI, P.; XU, Y.; ZHANG, Y.

2026-09-01 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361738 medRxiv
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Background: The condition of a patient with acute stroke often changes within hours of ICU admission. Prognostic work here targets fixed endpoints predicted from admission data, and trajectory phenotyping assigns one label per patient. We used longitudinal ICU data to identify interpretable dynamic clinical states, characterize transitions between them, and relate the current state to later events. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of 6368 adults with acute stroke in MIMIC IV v3.1. The first 72 h were divided into twelve 6-hour windows, and a hidden Markov model was fitted to 21 neurological, physiological and organ support variables. State number was chosen against criteria fixed before fitting: statistical fit, restart stability, state occupancy and clinical interpretability. Generalized estimating equations related the current state to new mechanical ventilation and vasopressor use within 12 h, and to ICU death within 72 h. Eleven sensitivity analyses assessed the robustness of the state solution. Results: Four states were selected: neurologically preserved-low support, neurological impairment low support, impairment renal dysfunction and impairment-respiratory support (63.3%, 7.8%, 11.8% and 17.1% of windows). Within 72 h, 40.3% of patients changed state at least once, and transitions ran in both directions rather than along a single severity gradient. States were identified without outcome data, yet ICU mortality by last state ranged from 2.9% to 43.9%. Adjusted for age, sex, subtype and Charlson index, the current state remained associated with organ-support escalation and death. State prevalence differed by at most 1.1 percentage points between training and test sets, and 10 of 11 sensitivity analyses gave a stable four-state solution (ARI 0.754 0.955). Conclusions: The early ICU course of acute stroke can be represented as movement among a small number of clinically interpretable states. The representation was reproducible in a held out set and across admission eras, but requires validation in an independent database before any clinical use.